Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.121795 0.140674 0.161262 0.185347 0.212716 0.242815 0.278389
2024-12-15 0.098895 0.125412 0.156836 0.196677 0.245687 0.303841 0.377897
2024-12-22 0.077397 0.106761 0.144242 0.195257 0.262504 0.347690 0.463284
2024-12-29 0.066542 0.098842 0.142832 0.206499 0.295533 0.414739 0.585346
2025-01-05 0.056046 0.089128 0.136942 0.210105 0.318000 0.469753 0.697401
2025-01-12 0.046019 0.078047 0.126989 0.205857 0.327996 0.507692 0.789011
2025-01-19 0.038706 0.069688 0.119528 0.203741 0.340085 0.548988 0.888775
2025-01-26 0.035374 0.067145 0.120620 0.214798 0.373264 0.624700 1.047280
2025-02-02 0.032285 0.064426 0.120880 0.224233 0.404482 0.699873 1.211505
2025-02-09 0.027321 0.057424 0.112673 0.217917 0.408289 0.730647 1.306188
2025-02-16 0.023828 0.052581 0.107564 0.216236 0.419538 0.774279 1.425435
2025-02-23 0.020443 0.047348 0.100929 0.210739 0.423044 0.804464 1.523623
2025-03-02 0.017716 0.043084 0.095706 0.207526 0.430890 0.843907 1.643446
2025-03-09 0.016068 0.040883 0.094325 0.211711 0.453267 0.911733 1.820622
2025-03-16 0.013791 0.036827 0.088458 0.205916 0.455307 0.941771 1.930421
2025-03-23 0.012986 0.036121 0.089749 0.215383 0.489176 1.035485 2.168767
2025-03-30 0.011773 0.034179 0.087970 0.217888 0.508749 1.102821 2.361393
2025-04-06 0.010243 0.031120 0.083135 0.212854 0.511576 1.136726 2.490409
2025-04-13 0.009061 0.028759 0.079604 0.210337 0.519539 1.181634 2.645063
2025-04-20 0.008716 0.028677 0.081720 0.221538 0.559475 1.296650 2.953243
2025-04-27 0.008309 0.028337 0.083123 0.231144 0.596660 1.408707 3.263507
2025-05-04 0.007240 0.025792 0.078341 0.224597 0.595135 1.436479 3.395747
2025-05-11 0.006492 0.024086 0.075568 0.222841 0.604873 1.489841 3.587513